Modest Inflation Expectations Allow Mortgage Rates to Once Again Set New Record Lows

by FreddieMac 2. September 2010 14:15

McLean, VA – Freddie Mac (OTC: FMCC) today released the results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey® (PMMS®), and for yet another week, fixed-rate mortgages reached record lows, as did the 5-year adjustable rate in this survey. (The 30-year fixed-rate survey began in 1971, the 15-year began in 1991, and the 5-year adjustable in 2005.)

News Facts

30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 4.32 percent with an average 0.7 point for the week ending September 2, 2010, down from last week when it averaged 4.36 percent. Last year at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 5.08 percent.

15-year FRM this week averaged a record low of 3.83 percent with an average 0.6 point, down from last week when it averaged 3.86 percent. A year ago at this time, the 15-year FRM averaged 4.54 percent.

5-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) averaged 3.54 percent this week, with an average 0.6 point, down from last week when it averaged 3.56 percent. A year ago, the 5-year ARM averaged 4.59 percent.

1-year Treasury-indexed ARM averaged 3.50 percent this week with an average 0.7 point, down from last week when it averaged 3.52 percent. At this time last year, the 1-year ARM averaged 4.62 percent.

Average commitment rates should be reported along with average fees and points to reflect the total cost of obtaining the mortgage.

Quotes

Attributed to Amy Crews Cutts, deputy chief economist, Freddie Mac.

"The 12-month price growth of core personal expenditures remained at 1.4 percent in July, which kept overall inflation expectations well at bay. Fed chairman Bernanke reiterated this in his August 27th speech in Wyoming, noting that with inflation expectations reasonably stable and the economy growing, inflation should remain near current readings for some time before rising slowly. As a result, mortgage rates eased further this week to new historic lows.

"House prices, however, appear to be firming. Home prices rose 2.3 percent between the first and second quarter of this year, reaching the highest level since the fourth quarter of 2008, according to the S&P/Case Shiller® National Home Price Index . In addition, 15 metropolitan areas in the 20-City Composite Index experienced annual house price growth in June, compared to 13 in May and 11 in April."

Freddie Mac was established by Congress in 1970 to provide liquidity, stability and affordability to the nation's residential mortgage markets. Freddie Mac supports communities across the nation by providing mortgage capital to lenders. Over the years, Freddie Mac has made home possible for one in six homebuyers and more than five million renters.

Source: FreddieMac, Primary Mortgage Market Survey® (PMMS®), www.freddiemac.com

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National Home Prices Up in June

by IBH Staff Writer 31. August 2010 14:37
National home prices rose in June for a third straight month as it gained 3.6 percent from last year’s level according to the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index released on Tuesday. Home prices also increased 4.4 percent in the second quarter after a 2.8 percent drop in the first quarter.

"While the numbers are upbeat, other more recent data on home sales and mortgages point to fewer gains ahead," said David M. Blitzer, chairman of the Index Committee at Standard & Poor's. "Even with concerns about near term developments, we recognize that the housing market is in better shape than this time last year."

Of the 20 metro areas tracked by the S&P/Case-Shiller home price indexes only one experienced a decline. The index is up 4.2 percent year-over-year.

Seventeen cities posted price gains on a monthly basis. The biggest monthly price increases were in Chicago, Detroit and Minneapolis. Prices climbed 2.5 percent in each of those cities compared to a month earlier.

Prices in Seattle and Phoenix were flat on a monthly basis. Home prices in Las Vegas fell 0.6 percent compared with a month earlier.

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Long-Term Mortgage Rates Fall for the Ninth Week Out of Ten

by FreddieMac 26. August 2010 13:43
McLean, VA – Freddie Mac (OTC: FMCC) today released the results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey® (PMMS®), and for yet another week, fixed-rate mortgages reached record lows, while the 5-year adjustable rate remained tied at its low for this survey. (The 30-year fixed-rate survey began in 1971, the 15-year began in 1991, and the 5-year adjustable in 2005.)

News Facts

30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 4.36 percent with an average 0.7 point for the week ending August 26, 2010, down from last week when it averaged 4.42 percent. Last year at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 5.14 percent.

15-year FRM this week averaged a record low of 3.86 percent with an average 0.6 point, down from last week when it averaged 3.90 percent. A year ago at this time, the 15-year FRM averaged 4.58 percent.

5-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) averaged 3.56 percent this week, with an average 0.6 point, unchanged from last week when it also averaged 3.56 percent. A year ago, the 5-year ARM averaged 4.67 percent.

1-year Treasury-indexed ARM averaged 3.52 percent this week with an average 0.7 point, down slightly from last week when it also averaged 3.53 percent. At this time last year, the 1-year ARM averaged 4.69 percent.

Average commitment rates should be reported along with average fees and points to reflect the total cost of obtaining the mortgage.

Quotes

Attributed to Amy Crews Cutts, deputy chief economist, Freddie Mac.

"Existing home sales plunged 27 percent in July, while new homes fell 12 percent to a new all-time record low, which led to some market concerns that the housing market may slow the economic recovery. As a result, long-term bond yields fell to the lowest levels since January 2009, allowing fixed mortgage rates to ease to new record lows this week.

"Much of the slowdown in sales, however, was expected due to the recently expired homebuyer tax programs, which pulled through future home purchases into the first half of the year. For instance, average existing home sales over the first seven months of 2010 were nearly 8 percent higher than over the same period a year ago.

"Moreover, house prices still appear to be stabilizing. Nationally, house prices rose 0.9 percent on a seasonally-adjusted basis during the second quarter of this year this year after 11 consecutive quarterly declines, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency's purchase only index. Eight of the nine census regions experienced positive gains, compared to none in the first quarter."

Freddie Mac was established by Congress in 1970 to provide liquidity, stability and affordability to the nation's residential mortgage markets. Freddie Mac supports communities across the nation by providing mortgage capital to lenders. Over the years, Freddie Mac has made home possible for one in six homebuyers and more than five million renters.

Source: FreddieMac, Primary Mortgage Market Survey® (PMMS®), www.freddiemac.com

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New home sales dropped to record levels

by IBH Staff Writer 25. August 2010 16:20
The Commerce Department said Wednesday that new home sales unexpectedly dropped 12.4 percent in July from a month earlier to a seasonally adjusted annual sales pace of 276,600. That was the slowest pace on records dating back to 1963. Year-over-year sales dropped 32.4 percent.

Home sales had surged in March and April as homebuyers hurried to get contracts signed as the $8,000 tax credit was about to end April 30.

In the latest government report, the median price of new homes sold was $204,000, almost 6 percent below June’s sales and a 4.8 percent off from July 2009’s sales.

An estimated 210,000 new homes were for sale at the end of July, the lowest since September 1968. Due to sluggish pace of home sales, increasing foreclosed properties, experts expect home prices will continue to decline and that inventory will take more than 9.1 months to sell such inventory up from 8 months of inventory in June. Six months of inventory is considered healthy.

New home sales declined nationwide. Sales dropped the most in the West, where sales declined more than 25 percent. In the Northeast, sales fell 13.9 percent. In the South and Midwest, sales dropped by just over 8 percent.

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Sales of Existing Homes Fell Sharp in July

by IBH Staff Writer 24. August 2010 04:46
Existing home sales plunged sharply in July to their lowest level in 15 years, the National Association of Realtors reported Tuesday. The fall was for a third consecutive month as attributed to the expired homebuyer tax credit.

The National Association of Realtors report showed that existing home sales sank 27.2 percent in July last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.83 million units, down from the downwardly revised rate of 5.26 million in June. Annually, year-over-year sales were 25.2 percent below last year’s level.

Home sales have been in a continuous decline despite mortgage rates falling to record lows. The homebuyer tax credit has expired and homebuyers become more concerned about the value of homes which remained flat in the past year and unemployment rate is stuck at 9.5 percent.

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